Climate and Weather

Weather Prediction

How accurate is The Old Farmer’s Almanac in predicting weather?

The Farmer’s Almanac published in Lewiston, Maine, and The Old Farmer’s Almanac published in Dublin, New Hampshire, both make predictions about the weather for the coming year when they are published. Each book claims to have secret formulas to predict the weather. The Old Farmer’s Almanac claims it has an accuracy rate of 80 percent. Prior to modern forecasting techniques using radar, satellites and computer simulation, many people relied on the almanacs for long-range weather forecasts. However, many of the predictions in the almanacs are very general in nature, such as a five-day period in November may be predicted to be sunny/cool without a range of expected temperatures or whether it will be sunny each of the five days.


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